Do or Die for Clinton

It's "Do or Die" for Clinton now. The way that Obama has consistently beat her in the last 10 elections but in particular in the proportion she has been suffering the losses (at times 75-25%) has taken its toll. I predict that if Obama is able to pull off Texas then she will end up losing the nomination come convention time. I will also go on a limb and claim that if Obama upsets her with a 6 to 3 voter difference then her camp will call it quits shortly after.

It isn't that Clinton is not qualified. She is, perhaps better qualified then Obama but she is not the change the majority of people voting in the primaries want. Clinton represents change but it is Obama that has been able to capitalize on it.

One would hope that her camp can persuade her to concede if she were to have no hope. The Democratic for the first time in a few years had two attractive candidates that has made it hard for the people to unite behind one. As the primaries continue though, it seems Obama is the one that is getting the nod from the people.

What does this mean for Clinton? It means that if it comes close and she continues to battle it and win, she may undermine her support come November. She may stir up the Evangelical Conservative Bloc to show up in numbers to counter her. This predicament is not unlikely and it is unfortunate I believe that she would lose due to this scenario.

What does this mean for Democrats but in particular Obama? It means that he will be winner if it comes to a tie. Party members know that if Clinton does not beat him then anything that gets her foot in the door due to a tie will be looked at suspiciously. The media has already speculated that "men in smoked filled rooms" will be deciding the candidate come convention time. This folks is not an option for those that will feel the party has sabotaged the nomination. They may retaliate by not voting for that person, in this case Clinton.

Thus, it is quite clear. All Obama has to do in Texas is win either by a large or a small percentage or lose by a small percentage to get the nod. On the other hand Clinton has to pull one of the greatest upsets in Primary history. This can be done . . . but it is quite unlikely.